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1. Background - Dairy Development

India has the world’s largest dairy industry in terms of volume of milk production. The total milk production in the country stood at 176.3 million tonnes in 2017-18. In fact milk production in India has been steadily growing and the country has witnessed a growth rate of 57% from 2008-09 to 2017-18.

Apart from India, the other leading milk producers are USA, Pakistan, China, Brazil and Germany. However, the milk production in India is also double that of USA while it is several times higher than that for other major milk producers. The country has close to 18% of the world’s bovine population (2015-16).

Government statistics indicate that there are close to 75 million women and 15 million men in the country who are engaged in dairy and that there is increasing participation of women in livestock development activities . However, a very high proportion of households engaged in dairy production are landless, small and marginal farmers. As far as the growth rate is concerned dairy sector in India is growing at a rate of around 10% per annum.

The major milk producing states in India are Uttar Pradesh, Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh, Andhra Pradesh, Gujarat, Punjab and Maharashtra.

Despite being ranked number one in milk production, the per animal productivity in India is 1,806 kg a year which is much lower than the world average of 2,310 kg an year. This is owing to issues related to livestock breeds, livestock feed and also veterinary health support.

It must also be mentioned that out of the total milk produced in India, a large proportion (about 48%) is retained by dairy farmers for their self-consumption while the remaining is marketable surplus.

 

 

 

2. Challenges for Dairy Development in India - Dairy Development

The following are some of the major challenges for the dairy sector in India:

Issue of aggregation:

Dairy sector in India faces a major issue relating to aggregation of milk. A majority of producers have one or two milch animals and hence their production levels are quite low. Consequently, aggregation of produce from a large number of such small producers is not only difficult but also cost-intensive. Moreover, due to high collection cost only about 20 to 30% of milk produced by small-holders is believed to be marketed through organised channels, while the rest remains in the ambit of unorganised supply chains.

Small and scattered supply chains:

The other issue facing small producer is establishing the supply chain and its efficient management. In fact, a large number of small vendors/middlemen are engaged in collecting small quantities of milk from individual producers.

High cost of milk production:

The average yield of cattle in India is low as compared to other countries. It has impact on higher cost of milk production in India. Lack of breed improvement, proper feed, water management and housing are some factors that contribute towards reducing the productivity of Indian cattle.

High cost of milk handling and marketing:

In India, milk passes through several small aggregators until it reaches a pasteurisation facility. Consequently, the added margins of various players in the milk distribution chain, lead to increase in the cost of milk.

Low quality of milk:

Unhygienic condition of animal farms and dairies, poor and unhygienic milk handling have contributed to deterioration in the quality of milk. In 2012, FSSAI (Food Safety and Standards Authority of India) pointed out in a survey that 70% of urban and 31% of rural milk supplies do not meet standards.

Poor veterinary support:

Another major issue in India is the lack of adequate veterinary services. This often results in poor cattle health, leading to low chances of breed improvement for small rural farmers.

 

3. Project Idea -Dairy Development

This business idea aims to promote dairy through collectives of small-holder dairy farmers and support the farmers for improvement in livestock breeds, improved fodder and feed, improved bovine health ultimately leading towards enhanced milk production. The proposed model also seeks to provide financial services to dairy farmers in order to enable them to buy additional livestock.

Aggregation of milk produce of individual farmers and collective marketing of the same also forms an important component under this model. The purpose is to ensure better prices to the farmers in order to maximize their income levels.

This project idea promotes a cluster-based approach wherein a FPO will be formed at the cluster level that would support the dairy farmers. The FPO would support the farmers in livestock breed improvement, purchase of additional livestock, feed management, veterinary health and adoption of hygienic practices for milk handling. Subsequently, the FPO would facilitate the collection and marketing of milk while ensuring better milk prices for the farmers.

4. Impacts and Sustainability -Dairy Development

4.1 Impacts – Social, Economic and Environmental

Social impacts

  1. Building social capital and social cohesion through organisation of farmers.
  2. Building capacity of individual farmers and also farmer groups.
  3. Generating additional employment for a number of persons through the FPO and other business activities.
  4. Ensuring the development of sustainable community-based organisations at the village level (PGs) and at the cluster level (FPO).

Economic impacts

  1. Enhancing incomes of small-farmers through dairy activities.
  2. Vermicomposting developed as an alternate source of income for farmers.
  3. Organic cultivation promoted through use of vermicompost.
  4. Increase in farmers’ income.

Environmental impacts

  1. Promotion of alternate fuel in the form of biogas.
  2. Reduction of soil, water and air pollution because of promotion of organic manures.
  3. Promotion of azola results in improved soil health, improved fertiliser use efficiency, nitrogen fixation and maintaining soil moisture.

4.2 Mainstreaming Options

This model has a potential to be widely replicated across the country as dairy activities are carried out widely by farmers. This model can be promoted through various schemes of state governments and NABARD. Financial support from other banks may be leveraged.

4.3 Sustainability

Milk has high demand and a ready market. It is expected that if backward and forward linkages are adequately established and proper marketing is done, this model would start generating profits from second year onwards and become self-sustaining within 2 to 3 years. In fact, small scale dairies have been successfully promoted by MSGD in Rajasthan and this model is based upon the work done in Rajasthan.

The major factors that are expected to contribute towards sustaining this model are:

  1. Scope for provision of milk animals to the farmers through loan assistance.
  2. Facilitating agency to provide support to farmers in dairy enterprise development, aggregation and marketing, livestock health, fodder development etc.
  3. Capacity building of farmer groups and FPOs in governance, business planning and financial management.
  4. Convergence with ongoing schemes.
  5. The economics of this model indicate good returns from the farmers and the FPO from 2nd year onwards.
  6. Adoption of biogas and vermicomposting by farmers, in addition to dairy enterprise, can enhance their income.

5. Financial Details - Dairy Development

5.1 Scope of financing and subsidy

It is assumed that in order to enhance milk production, the farmers would require financial assistance to purchase new livestock livestock along with technical support for scientific cattle management practices. For this purpose, the NGO/ FPO would link the farmers with financial institutions.

Efforts for convergence with existing government programmes would be attempted in order to get farmers the benefits of existing schemes.

The FPO itself would require loan for meeting capital costs as well as working capital requirement during the initial years. It is estimated that the FPO would require a loan of INR 54.40 lakhs for meeting capital costs and for meeting working capital requirements a loan of INR 148 lakhs. It is felt that working capital requirements can be sourced through loans from NABARD and other banks, while capital costs would be met through loans. However, in case any grant assistance from NABARD or other sources can be sourced by the FPO then it would be an added advantage.

Convergence with MGNREGS:

Financial assistance/subsidy to individual farmers for constructing cattle sheds can be availed through the Mahatma Gandhi National Rural Employment Guarantee Scheme (MGNREGS).

NABARD:

NABARD provides financial grants of upto INR 10 lakhs per FPO to meet initial expenses. In addition to this, NABARD also provides loan to FPOs for upto INR 1 crore for meeting working capital requirements. These loans are provided directly by NABARD or routed through other banks.

In addition, NABARD has a number of schemes for promotion of small dairy units, rearing of calves, purchase of dairy equipment, milk marketing and cold chain establishment. The details are as follows:

Establishment of small dairy units upto 10 animals.

    Investment: Rs 5.00 lakh for 10 animal unit – minimum unit size is 2 animals with an upper limit of 10 animals

    Subsidy: 25% of the outlay (33 .33% for SC / ST farmers) as back ended capital subsidy subject to a ceiling of Rs 1.25 lakh for a unit of 10 animals

Rearing of heifer calves upto 20 calves.

    Investment: Rs 4.80 lakh for 20 calf unit – minimum unit size of 5 calves with an upper limit of 20 calves.

    Subsidy: 25% of the outlay (33.33% for SC / ST farmers) as back ended capital subsidy subject to a ceiling of Rs 1.20 lakh for a unit of 20 calves

Purchase of milking machines /milk-testers/bulk milk cooling units

     Investment: Rs 18 lakh

     Subsidy: 25% of the outlay (33.33% for SC / ST farmers) as back ended capital subsidy subject to a ceiling of Rs 4.50 lakh

Purchase of dairy processing equipment for manufacture of indigenous milk products.

    Investment: Rs 12 lakh

    Subsidy: 25% of the outlay (33.33% for SC / ST farmers) as back ended capital subsidy subject to a ceiling of Rs 3.00 lakh ( Rs 4.00 lakh for SC/ST farmers)

Establishment of dairy product transportation facilities and cold chain.

    Investment: Rs 24 lakh

    Subsidy: 25% of the outlay (33.33% for SC / ST farmers) as back ended capital subsidy subject to a ceiling of Rs 6.00 lakh ( Rs 8.00 lakh for SC/ST farmers)

Cold storage facilities for milk and milk products.

    Investment: Rs 30 lakh

    Subsidy: 25% of the outlay (33.33% for SC / ST farmers) as back ended capital subsidy subject to a ceiling of Rs 7.50 lakh ( Rs 10.00 lakh for SC/ST farmers)

Dairy marketing outlet / Dairy parlour.

    Investment: Rs 56,000/-

    Subsidy: 25% of the outlay (33.33% for SC / ST farmers) as back ended capital subsidy subject to a ceiling of Rs 14,000/-( Rs 18600/- for SC/ST farmers)

Table 1: Cost-benefits for individual farmers engaged in dairy farming (2 buffaloes)

S.No

Particulars

Unit

Quantity

Cost (Rs.)

Year 1

Year 2

Year 3

Year 4

Year 5

A

Costs

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

A.1

Cost of milch animal

 

 

 

 

 

Purchase of milch animal (buffalo)

Nos

2

70000

140000

0

0

0

0

 

Total (A.1)

 

 

 

140000

 

 

 

 

A.2

Cost of maintenance of cattle

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

A.2.1

Greed Fodder

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2.1.1

During lactation (barseem, rijka etc)

Kg

5400

2

10800

11340

11907

12502

13127

2.2.1

During dry period (barseem, rijka etc)

Kg

1260

2

2520

2646

2778

2917

3063

A.2.2

Dry fodder

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2.2.1

During lactation (wheat/bajra straw)

Kg

2920

6

17520

18396

19316

20282

21296

2.2.2

During dry period (wheat/bajra straw)

Kg

1080

6

6480

6804

7144

7501

7876

A.2.3

Feeding material

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2.3.1

During lactation period

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

a

Maize oil cake

Kg

810

21

17010

17861

18754

19691

20676

b

Wheat Bran (choker)

Kg

810

22

17820

18711

19647

20629

21660

c

Ground Nut Cake (GNC)

Kg

185

40

7400

7770

8159

8566

8995

d

Mustard Oil Cake (MOC)

Kg

185

22

4070

4274

4487

4712

4947

e

Salt and mineral mixture

L/S

 

 

3240

3402

3572

3751

3938

2.3.2

During dry period

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

a

Maize oil cake

Kg

360

21

7560

7938

8335

8752

9189

b

Wheat Bran (choker)

Kg

270

22

5940

6237

6549

6876

7220

c

Ground Nut Cake (GNC)

Kg

90

40

3600

3780

3969

4167

4376

d

Mustard Oil Cake (MOC)

Kg

180

22

3960

4158

4366

4584

4813

e

Salt and mineral mixture

L/S

 

 

1080

1134

1191

1250

1313

A.2.4

Vaccination, medication and treatment

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

1

Cost of vaccination and medication (HS & BQ, FMD, rinderpest etc.)

L/S

 

1000

1000

1050

1102.5

1158

1216

 

Total (A.2)

 

 

 

110000

115500

121275

127339

133706

A.3

Labour and other costs

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

A.3.1

Labour cost

Mandays

120

250

30000

31500

33075

34729

36465

A.3.2

Buffalo Insurance

L/S

2

2800

5600

5880

6174

6483

6807

A.3.3

Interest on loan

 

 

 

16800

14016

10898

7406

3494

 

Total (A.3)

 

 

 

52400

51396

50147

48617

46766

 

Cost of milk production (excluding capital cost) (A.2+A.3)

 

 

 

162400

166896

171422

175956

180472

B

Revenues

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

B.1

Sale of milk

Litres

5400

40

216000

226800

261954

275052

288804

B.2

Sale of calves (net return after feed cost)

L/S

 

 

7500

7875

8269

8682

9116

 

Total Revenue

 

 

 

223500

234675

270223

283734

297921

 

Net Returns (A-B)

 

 

 

61100

67779

98801

107778

117449

 

Assumptions

  • Cost of constructing cattle shed may be sourced from MNREGP.
  • For purchasing buffalo the FPO could arrange bank loan for the farmers.
  • A lactation cycle of 9 months with daily milk yield of 10 litres is assumed for the above calculations.
  • Inflation at the rate of 5% per annum has been factored in while calculating all costs as well as revenues.
  • The labour costs are included while calculating the above costs but in-case farmers themselves engage in performing dairy operations then the cost of labour may be a saving for the farmers.
  • This model is based on yield estimates from Alwar district of Rajasthan. In case of other regions, milk yields and costs may show slight variations.
  • Farmers would be assisted in establishing household level biogas plants through convergence.
  • Azola units at Producer Group level could be established for improved cattle feed.
  • Manure would be utilized by the farmers in their own farm.
  • While the market price of female calf is higher than that of a male calf an average price has been taken for the above calculations.

5.2 Cost Economics

The proposed business model provides estimates of cost-benefits at two levels i.e. at the level of individual farmer and at the level of the FPO for dairy enterprise.

5.2.1 Cost-benefit for farmers 

The above Table 1 provides the estimated cost of milk production as well as the expected net revenue for individual farmers engaged in dairy farming with one buffalo.

Assumptions

  • Cost of constructing cattle shed may be sourced from MGNREGA.
  • For purchasing buffalo the FPO could arrange bank loan for the farmers.
  • A lactation cycle of 9 months with daily milk yield of 10 litres is assumed for the above calculations.
  • Inflation at the rate of 5% per annum has been factored in while calculating all costs as well as revenues.
  • The labour costs are included while calculating the above costs but in-case farmers themselves engage in performing dairy operations then the cost of labour may be a saving for the farmers.
  • This model is based on yield estimates from Alwar district of Rajasthan. In case of other regions, milk yields and costs may show slight variations.
  • Farmers would be assisted in establishing household level biogas plants through convergence.
  • Azola units at Producer Group level could be established for improved cattle feed.
  • Manure would be utilized by the farmers in their own farm.
  • While the market price of female calf is higher than that of a male calf an average price has been taken for the above calculations.

Economic analysis

Under the proposed model, farmers are able to get a net return of around INR 3.12 lakhs (after deducting capital costs). While the net annual returns are around INR 0.68 lakhs (Year 2) to INR 1.17 lakhs (Year 5). The Benefit Cost ratio for an individual farmer is calculated to be 1.24 which is good.

Table 2: Economic analysis dairy with 2 buffaloes

Particulars

Amount in INR (in Lakhs)

 

 

Year 1

Year 2

Year 3

Year 4

Year 5

Total

Capital cost

140000

0

0

0

0

 

Recurring cost

162400

166896

171422

175956

180472

 

Total cost

302400

166896

171422

175956

180472

997146

Total benefits

223500

234675

270223

283734

297921

1310052

Net benefits

-78900

67779

98801

107778

117449

312906

Net present worth of cost @15%

692398

 

 

 

 

 

Net present worth of benefits @15%

860028

 

 

 

 

 

Benefit Cost Ratio

1.24

 

 

 

 

 

IRR

28%

 

 

 

 

 

IRR for a farmer rearing 2 buffaloes comes to 28% which indicates that the investment decision is sound and viable.

LOANS

It is envisaged that for this establishing a dairy unit an individual farmer would require a loan of INR 140000 for the purchase of 2 buffaloes. Repayment of loan would be initiated from the second year onwards and it would be repaid in six years.

Table 3: Loan taken by farmer for purchase of buffaloes

 

Year 1

Year 2

Year 3

Year 4

Year 5

Year 6

Loan

140000

0

0

0

0

0

Repayment

 

40000

40000

40000

40000

32614

Interest on capital loan (Diminishing) @ 12% per annum

16800

14016

10898

7406

3494

0

Total loan outstanding

156800

130816

101714

69120

32614

0

 

5.2.2 Cost-benefit for FPOs

Details of cost-benefit of FPO engaged in aggregation and marketing of milk are as follows:

Table 4: Cost-benefits for FPO engaged in aggregation and marketing of milk (250 producers with 2 buffaloes each)

S.No

Particulars

Unit

Organic Cultivation

Year 1

Year 2

Year 3

Year 4

Year 5

Quantity

Cost (Rs.)

A.1

Capital Cost

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

1.1

Storage (transit storage) cum office

Sq. ft.

1500

700

10.50

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

1.2

Office equipment (including computer and MIS system

for inventory management and accounting system)

Lumpsum

1

150000

1.50

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

1.3

Milk Testing Kit and related Equipment

Nos

10

5000

0.50

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

1.4

Automatic Milk Analyser (Bond 5 in 1)

Nos

3

30000

0.90

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

1.5

Other Equipment (Utensils, Cans, etc.)

Lumpsum

 

200000

2.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

1.6

Mobile Chilling Van (including milk chiller, accessories)

Nos

2

1200000

24.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

1.7

Bulk Milk Cooler (6000 litres) Gen set, stabilizer, etc. (including installation cost)

Nos

1

1500000

15.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

1.8

Deep freezer and other equipment for dairy outlet

Nos

3

100000

3.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

 

Total capital cost

 

 

 

54.40

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

A.2

Recurring cost

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2.1

Promotion of Feed/ Fodder Resources on Common and Private Land

Acre

50

2000

1.00

1.05

1.10

1.16

1.22

2.2

Capacity building of local youth as paravets - providing kits to paravets

Nos

5

7500

0.38

0.39

0.41

 

 

2.3

Animal health camps

Nos

5

10000

0.50

0.53

0.55

0.58

0.61

2.4

Technical Training on Livestock Management, Enterprise Promotion

Nos

15

10000

1.50

1.58

1.65

 

 

2.5

Procurement of milk from the community @40 per litre

Litres

1350000

40

540.00

567.00

595.35

625.12

656.37

2.6

Operational and maintenance expenses of chilling plant

Litres

1350000

0.5

6.75

7.09

7.44

7.81

8.20

2.7

Transportation expenses

Litres

1350000

0.25

3.38

3.54

3.72

3.91

4.10

2.8

Rent for FPO office and 3 outlets (including electricity

etc.)

Month

12

120000

14.40

15.12

15.88

16.67

17.50

2.9

Staff, administration, travel, coordination, marketing etc.

Month

12

200000

24.00

25.20

26.46

27.78

29.17

2.10

Interest on loan for working capital (12%)

Half yearly

 

 

8.88

8.88

8.88

8.88

8.88

2.11

Interest on loan for capital cost (12%)

Per annum

 

 

6.53

6.05

5.52

4.92

4.25

 

Total recurring cost

607.31

630.38

661.45

691.91

726.06

 

Total cost - capital and recurring

661.71

630.38

661.45

691.91

726.06

B

Income/ Benefits

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

1

Sale of milk

Litres

1323000

50

661.50

694.58

729.30

765.77

804.06

 

Total Income

661.50

694.58

729.30

765.77

804.06

 

Gross Profit

54.19

64.20

67.85

73.86

78.00

 

Assumptions

In the above analysis the following assumptions have been made:

  • The above analysis assumes that the FPO is aggregation milk from about 500 dairy farmers with each have one buffalo/ the milk sold by each farmer being 10 litres per day.
  • The available subsidy, if any, from various sources has not been factored in this model which has been prepared on the basis of maximum cost in order to assess economic viability.
  • The FPO would assist the farmers in promotion of feed, capacity building as paravets, organising animal health camps and providing technical trainings.
  • The storage infrastructure will be made of low-cost materials.
  • Loan will be obtained for INR 148 lakhs as working capital for six-month each year for first five years. This would be used for procurement of milk from farmers and meeting operational costs of FPO.
  • A loan of INR 54.40 lakhs would be obtained for meeting capital costs.
  • An increment of 5% each year for price escalation in the costs and revenues has been factored in the above analysis.

ECONOMIC ANALYSIS

The FPO is projected to obtain a surplus from Year 1 onwards (in case capital costs are not considered) and from Year 2 onwards a net profit of between INR 64 to 78 lakhs is projected. This analysis also takes into account the interest on working capital and capital loans that are expected to be taken by the FPO. The benefit cost ratio comes to 1.08.

Table 5: Economic analysis of operations of FPO

 

Particulars

Amount in INR (in Lakhs)

 

Year 1

Year 2

Year 3

Year 4

Year 5

Total

Capital cost

54

0

0

0

0

 

Recurring cost

607

630

661

692

726

 

Total cost

662

630

661

692

726

3371

Total benefits

662

695

729

766

804

3655

Net benefits

0

64

68

74

78

284

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net present worth of cost @15%

2244

 

 

 

 

 

Net present worth of benefits @15%

2418

 

 

 

 

 

Benefit Cost Ratio

1.08

 

 

 

 

 

IRR

25%

 

 

 

 

 

Debt Service Coverage Ratio

4.52

 

 

 

 

 

Payback period

1.003 years

Break-even point for FPO operations

10.87 lakh litres per annum

 

IRR for the business of federation is calculated at 25% for a five-year period which is indicative of viability of investment.

The payback period is slightly higher than one year which is indicating of the fact that in terms of cash flows the FPO would be able to recover its capital cost within an year of its operations. This indicates financial viability of this business model.

A DSCR greater than one that indicates that the business has enough income to comfortably cover principal and interest payments for capital loan and also working capital loan. In this case DSCR is coming to 4.52 in the first year and in the subsequent years too is higher than 3, thereby indicating that the business is generating sufficient income to meet its debt obligations.

LOANS

It is envisaged that for this business model the FPO would require a loan of INR 54.40 lakhs for capital expenditure and a loan of INR 148 lakhs for meeting the working capital requirements. Working capital would be required for 6 months each year. From the third year the value of procured commodities is expected to increase with the result that the FPO would require working capital of INR 600 lakhs.

Table 6: Working capital loan for FPO

 

Working Capital Loan

INR in Lakhs

Year 1

Year 2

Year 3

Year 4

Year 5

Yearly Working Capital Requirement

148

148

148

148

148

Repayment

148

148

148

148

148

Interest on net working capital Loan (Diminishing) @ 12% per annum

8.88

8.88

8.88

8.88

8.88

 

The repayment of loan of INR 54.40 lakhs for capital expenditure would be initiated from second year onwards and it is expected to be repaid over a period of 10 years.

Table 7: Capital expenditure loan for FPO

 

Working Capital Loan

INR in Lakhs

 

 

 

 

 

Y 1

Y 2

Y 3

Y 4

Y 5

Y 6

Y 7

Y 8

Y 9

Y 10

Capital expenditure

54.40

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

 

 

Repayment

0.00

10.5

10.5

10.5

10.5

10.5

10.5

10.5

10.5

6.21

Interest on capital loan (Diminishing) @ 12% per annum

6.53

6.05

5.52

4.92

4.25

3.50

2.66

1.72

0.67

0

Total loan outstanding

60.93

56.48

51.50

45.92

39.67

32.67

24.83

16.05

6.21

0

 

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